Search Results for: Weather Effects
Severe Weather in Indonesia Devastates Coffee-Growing Regions: Java and Sumatra Hit Hard, Output Expected to Fall by as Much as 50%
Indonesia is a major global coffee producer, with coffee cultivation mainly distributed across islands such as Sumatra, Java, Sulawesi, and Bali. However, the country has recently experienced persistent severe weather, and floods and landslides triggered by heavy rain have dealt a serious blow to multiple coffee-producing regions. The Bandung area on Java Island, the island's largest coffee-producing region, has already seen casualties and extensive housing damage; nine regions in western Sumatra have been especially hard hit, and with Robusta coffee at the pre-fruiting and early harvesting stage, losses have been severe. According to estimates by local producers, output on some islands will fall by 20%, and the country's total production may be halved. At the same time, the Indonesian government has designated coffee as a national priority industry and significantly increased fertilizer subsidies in an attempt to ease the impact of the disaster on agriculture. This article will review the specific effects of the disaster on Indonesia's coffee industry and related policy trends. [more…]
How to Quickly Calibrate Espresso on Rainy Days? Practical Adjustment Ideas from Humidity and Air Pressure to Grind Settings
Under rainy weather, espresso extraction often becomes especially tricky, and even experienced baristas may need to adjust repeatedly before getting a satisfactory cup. The root of the problem is not simply under-extraction or over-extraction, but uneven extraction caused by the combined effects of high humidity and low air pressure. Starting from Front Street's hands-on experience, this article first analyzes the two major reasons why espresso is difficult to dial in on rainy days—a surge in environmental humidity causes coffee grounds to absorb moisture and clump, while lower air pressure weakens extraction efficiency—and then provides specific response strategies, including dehumidification and moisture prevention, sealed storage, and compensating for the amount of dissolved flavor substances by extending extraction time or making the grind finer. The article also includes a parameter comparison of Front Street's classic blend under normal weather and rainy days for readers to refer to when adjusting. [more…]
Rising La Niña Probability May Push Coffee Prices Higher, Brazil's Robusta Output Poised to Surpass Vietnam
The latest report from the World Meteorological Organization shows that El Niño is weakening, and La Niña may return in the second half of the year. This climate shift will bring markedly different effects to global agriculture: Australia, West Africa, and parts of Asia are expected to receive abundant rainfall, favoring the growth of crops such as wheat, palm oil, cocoa, and coffee; while the Americas may face drought, and Brazil's soybean, coffee, and corn-producing regions will come under pressure from reduced yields. At the same time, international prices for coffee, cocoa, and wheat have already remained high for a sustained period, and if adverse climate factors intensify, agricultural product prices may rise further. In recent years, Brazil has vigorously developed robusta coffee, with production expected to reach 21 million bags in 2024, and it is expected to surpass Vietnam in the 2027/28 season to become the world's largest robusta-producing country. In addition, La Niña may also increase Atlantic hurricane activity, threatening energy infrastructure in the Gulf of Mexico and thereby driving up crude oil and shipping costs. [more…]
Interpretation of the International Coffee Organization's Monthly Report: Global Coffee Production Expected to Rebound, Possibly Growing Nearly 6% in 2023/24
The latest report from the International Coffee Organization (ICO) shows that global production in the 2022/23 coffee year edged up only 0.1% to 168.2 million bags, with growth almost at a standstill. Behind this trend is widening regional divergence: the Americas expanded steadily, while Asia, Oceania and Africa saw marked declines due to severe weather. At the same time, the aftereffects of the COVID-19 pandemic led to a 2% drop in world coffee consumption. Looking ahead to 2023/24, El Niño may continue to hit Asian producing regions, but a recovering global economy is expected to drive a rebound in consumption, with production forecast to rise 5.8% to 178 million bags, potentially leaving a market surplus of 1 million bags. [more…]
La Niña Arrives in Succession: Global Coffee Production and Prices Face New Variables
The lingering effects of El Niño in 2023 have not yet subsided, and La Niña may make a comeback in the summer of 2024, leaving global coffee-producing regions caught in a double bind of extreme weather. Drought during Brazil's flowering period, water shortages on Vietnam's highlands, coexisting floods and droughts in Africa, and the threat of hurricanes in Central America—the production outlook for major growing regions is shrouded in uncertainty. At the same time, rising demand for Robusta in European and American markets, combined with reduced output in several producing countries, has already triggered sharp fluctuations in international coffee prices. This article will examine how climate is disrupting the coffee supply chain and analyze the key variables shaping price trends in the second half of the year. [more…]
Colombian coffee prices decline amid intensifying competition, importers cut back purchases
In 2023, Colombian coffee prices experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from $2.37 per pound in February to $1.84 in October. The alternating effects of La Niña and El Niño on production, compounded by the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war disrupting supply chains, along with the devaluation of the peso driving up farm input costs, created a complex scenario. Meanwhile, importers faced pressures such as expensive credit and rising inflation, with some traders reducing their purchases of Colombian coffee beans by 50% to 60%, turning instead to lower-priced alternatives from Peru, Guatemala, and other origins. However, in the second half of 2023, the peso rebounded, fertilizer prices fell, and weather conditions improved. Production for the 2023/24 season is expected to grow by about 3%, and production in January 2024 increased by 10.5% year-on-year, signaling a potential recovery in market confidence. [more…]
Interpretation of the International Coffee Organization's November Report: Global Coffee Exports Rebound, Regional Production Divergence Intensifies
The latest monthly report from the International Coffee Organization (ICO) shows that global production in the 2022/23 coffee year edged up 0.1% to 168.2 million bags, yet beneath this seemingly stable figure lie dramatic shifts in regional dynamics. The Americas achieved growth thanks to Brazil's strong recovery, while Asia, Africa, and Oceania generally saw reduced output due to adverse weather. Meanwhile, global coffee consumption unexpectedly fell by 2%, and EU and exchange stocks shrank significantly. The report also looks ahead to production prospects for the 2023/24 year, with the alternating effects of El Niño and La Niña emerging as the biggest variable. [more…]
Colombia's coffee production declines and exports fall, FNC joins hands with growers to discuss strategies for coping with La Niña
The latest report from the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) shows that the country's coffee production in February 2024 decreased by 6.2% year-on-year. Although export volume grew month-on-month, overall exports over the past 12 months fell by 3.1%. Despite having shaken off the effects of El Niño, La Niña weather is expected to arrive in June-August and may last throughout the second half of the year, bringing new challenges to coffee production. To this end, the FNC held a steering committee meeting with grower representatives from various regions to discuss preventive measures to safeguard coffee farmers' incomes. At the same time, the FNC launched an export platform, Cafix, aimed at reducing transportation costs and simplifying export procedures. Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments in Colombian coffee and bring the latest producing-region news to enthusiasts. [more…]
Why Does Espresso Need Daily Calibration? Analyzing Crema Quality and Rainy-Day Extraction Challenges
Many coffee enthusiasts are puzzled by the practice of coffee shops adjusting their espresso every day, believing that as long as the dose, water temperature, yield, and grind size stay consistent, the taste should remain stable. However, the pressurized extraction method of espresso is extremely sensitive—the degassing state of the coffee beans, the weather humidity, and the wear on the grinder burrs can all cause flavor deviations. This article analyzes in detail how carbon dioxide affects the crema and extraction, why it is harder to pull a good-tasting espresso on rainy days, and the reasons behind changes in grind size, while also sharing Front Street Coffee's professional interpretation of the necessity of daily espresso calibration. [more…]
Why Does Rainy Weather Make Espresso So Hard to Dial In? Analyzing the Causes of Unstable Espresso Machine Extraction
Spring has arrived, and Guangdong is experiencing continuous rainy weather. For baristas who need to get up early every day to dial in espresso, this period is undoubtedly a challenge. Many coffee enthusiasts have noticed that with the same beans and the same parameters, as soon as a rainy day comes, the espresso machine seems to throw a tantrum, and the extraction results are always less than satisfactory. What exactly causes espresso to be so difficult to dial in on rainy days? This article will analyze in depth from multiple angles such as humidity, temperature, and bean condition, helping you understand the real reasons why espresso machine extraction is unstable in wet weather, and offering practical approaches to deal with it. [more…]
Brazilian coffee exports hit by a double whammy: port delays cause $290 million in losses, while high temperatures and drought continue to threaten production.
The Brazilian coffee industry is currently facing severe challenges. According to the latest report from the Brazilian Coffee Exporters Council, the delay rate at major ports reached 62% in June, leaving 1.23 million bags of coffee unable to be exported on schedule and causing foreign exchange losses of approximately US$290 million. The delay rate at the Port of Santos climbed to a record high of 82%. At the same time, persistent high temperatures and drought are affecting core producing regions such as Minas Gerais, and harvested coffee beans are showing undersized defects, with production expected to be revised down by 2 to 3 million bags. In addition, the dengue fever outbreak has exacerbated labor shortages, further weighing on exports. Front Street Coffee continues to monitor developments in Brazilian producing regions and brings you the latest industry analysis. [more…]
Is a WDT tool really worth buying? Analyzing the causes of and fixes for clumping and static in espresso grounds
When making espresso in dry weather, coffee grounds often clump together due to static electricity, which in turn causes channeling and affects the final flavor expression. Although most modern grinders are equipped with anti-static devices, some stragglers still slip through into the portafilter. Is there a simple and effective way to solve this problem? The answer is the distribution needle—a small yet practical auxiliary tool, and the workflow it corresponds to is known as the Weiss Distribution Technique (WDT). This article will explain the working principle of the distribution needle, its historical origins, its actual extraction effects, and the troubles that may be encountered during use, helping coffee enthusiasts determine whether this tool is worth purchasing, while also understanding the causal relationship between coffee grounds clumping and static electricity. [more…]
How to stabilize espresso extraction in humid climates? Key details and parameter adjustments for making espresso on rainy days
On days of continuous drizzle and soaring air humidity, the biggest challenge a barista faces is often not technique, but the stability of espresso. A humid environment can cause coffee beans to absorb moisture and lose flavor, and the pressure of the espresso machine may also be weakened, making extraction extremely unstable. This article starts from three angles—reducing bean moisture exposure, adjusting grind and dose, and increasing the frequency of parameter calibration—to sort out the operational details to pay attention to when making espresso on rainy days, helping you maintain consistency and flavor in your output even as humidity changes. [more…]
Coffee giant Mercon files for bankruptcy protection with $363 million in debt, Nicaragua operations hit hardest
The global coffee trade landscape is once again in turmoil. Mercon Coffee Group, once one of the world's largest coffee traders, has officially filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New York due to deep operational difficulties, with total liabilities amounting to as much as US$363 million. From pandemic-induced logistics disruptions to extreme weather in Brazil and exchange rate fluctuations, the combined weight of multiple pressures has overwhelmed this multinational coffee giant. Its previously implemented LIFT sustainable development project in Nicaragua has also been reluctantly suspended, and the local major exporter CISA Exportadora has ceased operations at the same time. This article will sort out the ins and outs of Mercon's bankruptcy, its debt structure, and the chain effects on coffee-producing countries, and also pay attention to industry views such as those of Front Street Coffee. [more…]
Colombian coffee exports to China gain strong momentum amid production recovery and extreme weather challenges
In recent years, Colombian coffee has performed increasingly well in the Chinese market. According to the country's media, China is expected to become Colombia's sixth-largest coffee export destination by the end of the year, and may even rise to second place in the future. In 2019, China ranked only 18th, but by 2023 it had jumped to sixth, with exports reaching 540,000 bags. At the same time, Colombia's coffee industry is gradually recovering from consecutive production declines, with output in the 2023/24 season expected to grow by 15%, though challenges such as drought, wildfires, and armed conflict remain. This article will review the latest export data, market prospects, and industry conditions, and include relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]
How Does Climate Change Impact Assam Tea Gardens? Micro-Level Yield Data Reveals the Critical Influence of Short-Term Weather Fluctuations
Assam is the world's largest tea-producing region, contributing one-fifth of global output and half of India's tea, and supporting about 1.2 million workers. Yet disruptions to rainfall and temperature patterns are putting this land under growing pressure—droughts in Africa, intense rainfall erosion in India, and the accelerating melting of Himalayan glaciers are all sounding alarms at the macro level. But what truly affects each tea leaf is often a more micro-level climate variable. A study based on 82 tea gardens spanning 2004 to 2013 reveals how short-term weather fluctuations directly influence yields. This article will walk you through these findings and what adaptive measures tea gardens can take. Front Street Coffee has always paid attention to the long-term impact of climate change in producing regions on the flavor in the cup. [more…]
Vietnamese Robusta Coffee Hit by Production Crisis, Purchase Price Breaks the 100 Million Vietnamese Dong Mark
Vietnam, the world's largest robusta coffee-producing country, is facing severe challenges—drought and scant rainfall, farmers switching to fruit crops, and the lingering effects of El Niño. The combination of these multiple factors is expected to cause coffee output to fall by 20%. At the same time, Vietnam's domestic coffee purchase price has soared to 103 million to 107 million Vietnamese dong per ton, and London futures prices have risen by more than 50% within a year. This wave of reduced production not only affects Vietnam's local economy, but will also tighten the global coffee supply landscape. This article examines the climate, economic, and geopolitical factors behind Vietnam's coffee production decline, and also looks at China's role in this shifting situation. (Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments in global coffee-producing regions.) [more…]
Honduras Ravaged by Wildfires and Extreme Weather, Coffee Industry Faces Risk of Reduced Production
Since 2024, multiple Latin American countries have experienced historic high temperatures and droughts. Honduras is enduring its hottest and driest year since 1992, with maximum temperatures reaching 38-40°C. A total of 1,903 forest fires have broken out nationwide, destroying over 150,000 hectares of forest. Although the main coffee-producing regions have not yet been directly hit by the wildfires, rainfall has decreased by nearly 40% compared to the same period last year, hampering the growth of coffee plants during their flowering period. More critically, El Niño has not yet subsided, while La Niña is highly likely to arrive, and the threat of hurricane season is imminent. The Honduran Coffee Institute (IHCAFE) has already issued a warning about next season's output. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor developments in the producing regions and bring first-hand information to enthusiasts. [more…]
Where does the muscat grape flavor in Dianhong black tea come from? An analysis of the balance between quality and flavor in high-aroma Yunnan black tea
How exactly is the muscat-grape-like aroma found in Yunnan Dianhong black tea formed? And what relationship does it have with tea quality? Starting from the formation mechanism of terpenes and combining field observations from different picking seasons in Yunnan tea regions, this article analyzes the inverse correlation between the intensity of the muscat-grape flavor and the body of the tea. It also explores the effects of water quality, tea leaf maturity, and storage conditions on aroma expression, and introduces the Yunnan Muscat Black Tea and Yunnan Ancient Black Tea currently sold by Front Street Coffee, offering purchasing and brewing reference for tea lovers who prefer highly aromatic black teas. [more…]
Brazilian coffee spot prices hit a 26-year high, with drought weather and tariff policies putting dual pressure on the market
As the world's largest coffee producer, Brazil has recently seen its domestic coffee spot prices soar to their highest level in nearly 26 years. Affected by drought and high temperatures, coffee production has fallen sharply, and compounded by the threat of a U.S. port strike and uncertainty over tariff policies, the market supply outlook is becoming increasingly unclear. This article will review Brazil's coffee price trends, the damage in producing regions, disagreements over production forecasts, and the multiple effects of macroeconomic factors on the coffee market, helping readers gain a comprehensive understanding of the complex situation currently facing Brazil's coffee industry. [more…]